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Today I gave out 3 plays in football, going a perfect 3-0. Baseball was 2-1 and the loss was a tough one. Something I rarely do is lay -1.5 and I did it today with Detroit. Up 4-0 early, they stop scoring, give up 3 in the 8th and 1 in the 9th, before winning in the 9th. Its a loss and we will move on.

5-1 today and yet another winning day. All plays are posted before first pitches and kickoffs, and all plays can be fact checked by reviewing previous blogs. Visit daily for picks and analysis.

I parlayed the 3 football games and the baseball Best Play - Ariz/SF Over 7.5 that returned around 12/1.

If you are looking for solid, winning selections, then you MUST check out BIZ. Below was taken straight from http://sportstalkbybiz.blogspot.com/.

Tonight I'm taking a couple of UNDERS and a road dog..

Cleveland/Baltimore UNDER 43.5, Cleveland +12:

A short week usually doesn't bode well for offense. Cleveland has struggled on offense this year, while Baltimore ranks among the leaders in points and yards. The regular refs are back, and this may lead to a pretty conservative game. Small play on the under, hoping Cleveland continues to struggle on offense, while Baltimore suffers a bit of a let down off of a short week, huge revenge game vs Pats, and the emotional game after the tragic death of Torrey Smith's brother.

Taking Cleveland plus points. Although Ravens have won 6 of the last 8 by double digits, we have some strong trends favoring the dog here. Since 2007, Ravens are 4-8-1 vs spread as div home favorite.1-7 in last 8 as double digit favorite. Browns are 7-4 in last 11 as divisional road dogs. Let's take the points.

Stanford/Washington UNDER 49:
2 good defenses off of a short week for Stanford. Possible let down spot after big win against USC, and its also their first road game. Combined these teams give up an average of 37 points per game, so let's take the under.
Posted by Paul Diddy at 1:41 PM

We had another winning day here at the BIZ Blg, going 2-1 for a +1.1 unit day. Let's keep it rolling:

Arizona/SF OVER 7.5 +100 :
AT&T Park can be a good hitter's park in the afternoon, and Barry Zito has pitched to some high totals lately - both for and against. The last 5 afternoon games for Zito at home have reached double digits, so we will continue with that trend. Arizona scoring lots of runs lately, and SF has averaged over 5 per game since the All Star break. Rockies starter Corbin has a +5.00 ERA for September. Look for plenty of runs being scored.

WASHINGTON -134 :
Nats still looking for home field, and Gio Gonzalez has been great lately. He's had the Phils number this year, holding them to a .176 avg and has allowed 4 runs over 19 innings of work. Tyler Cloyd takes the mound for the Phillies, and the youngster has had his problems at times. The road tilt provides some value on the much better pitcher with something to play for.

DETROIT (-1.5) -105:
I rarely use the run line on home teams, but Detroit in a good spot here. Fister going against Mendoza, Detroit swinging the bats well, averaging over 5 runs ppg over the last 10, while KC having trouble scoring. They are on some losing streaks and trends - 4 in a row, 8 of last 13. They are 0-6 in their last 6 at Comerica Park and have lost their last 4 road games. They are playing out the string against a highly motivated Tigers squad with so much to play for. Its getaway day, and the Royals just want to leave town. We'll take Detroit laying 1.5.


Posted by Paul Diddy at 10:05 AM
 

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